Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000743 0.000850 0.000962 0.001090 0.001231 0.001381 0.001552
2024-12-29 0.000568 0.000713 0.000878 0.001077 0.001310 0.001572 0.001888
2025-01-05 0.000482 0.000644 0.000837 0.001079 0.001374 0.001717 0.002143
2025-01-12 0.000408 0.000578 0.000789 0.001066 0.001412 0.001828 0.002357
2025-01-19 0.000348 0.000521 0.000744 0.001046 0.001435 0.001914 0.002539
2025-01-26 0.000316 0.000496 0.000735 0.001068 0.001509 0.002063 0.002798
2025-02-02 0.000287 0.000472 0.000725 0.001086 0.001576 0.002201 0.003047
2025-02-09 0.000251 0.000433 0.000691 0.001068 0.001592 0.002274 0.003210
2025-02-16 0.000219 0.000396 0.000656 0.001046 0.001599 0.002333 0.003356
2025-02-23 0.000201 0.000378 0.000646 0.001059 0.001653 0.002454 0.003584
2025-03-02 0.000183 0.000360 0.000635 0.001066 0.001699 0.002563 0.003799
2025-03-09 0.000159 0.000329 0.000600 0.001036 0.001690 0.002597 0.003911
2025-03-16 0.000137 0.000299 0.000565 0.001006 0.001679 0.002629 0.004023
2025-03-23 0.000123 0.000281 0.000549 0.001003 0.001708 0.002716 0.004213
2025-03-30 0.000111 0.000266 0.000536 0.001002 0.001739 0.002806 0.004408
2025-04-06 0.000099 0.000247 0.000516 0.000990 0.001752 0.002870 0.004566
2025-04-13 0.000087 0.000228 0.000493 0.000971 0.001752 0.002915 0.004697
2025-04-20 0.000082 0.000224 0.000495 0.000993 0.001817 0.003055 0.004969
2025-04-27 0.000076 0.000218 0.000494 0.001010 0.001874 0.003186 0.005228
2025-05-04 0.000067 0.000202 0.000474 0.000993 0.001876 0.003232 0.005364
2025-05-11 0.000059 0.000187 0.000453 0.000972 0.001871 0.003267 0.005483
2025-05-18 0.000055 0.000181 0.000450 0.000983 0.001918 0.003384 0.005726
2025-05-25 0.000050 0.000174 0.000445 0.000990 0.001958 0.003489 0.005952